Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.230854 1.436514 1.665527 1.939418 2.258097 2.617238 3.052821
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.899025 1.171916 1.510266 1.960523 2.544174 3.275594 4.262791
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.688901 0.971483 1.349645 1.892548 2.652368 3.678946 5.173600
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.610015 0.916913 1.353830 2.020881 3.014250 4.440589 6.648610
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.503878 0.800476 1.245997 1.963437 3.090876 4.797271 7.582820
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.420720 0.702306 1.146060 1.895565 3.131387 5.091911 8.447683
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.357058 0.623619 1.062498 1.836754 3.170617 5.379399 9.327117
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.321820 0.586051 1.039037 1.870950 3.363299 5.934188 10.715908
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.306027 0.579423 1.066108 1.994017 3.722477 6.811741 12.774782
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.283096 0.556111 1.059719 2.054484 3.974597 7.527720 14.630579
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.258912 0.526718 1.037704 2.081556 4.165660 8.151537 16.388831
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.234219 0.492660 1.001935 2.076193 4.291213 8.662679 17.987594
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.211413 0.459950 0.965915 2.068331 4.416540 9.200152 19.735713
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.193770 0.435703 0.944151 2.087609 4.601859 9.884778 21.888992
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.170371 0.395525 0.883510 2.015098 4.580914 10.136047 23.145727
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.166462 0.398377 0.915961 2.151689 5.036740 11.463349 26.952152
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.148258 0.365538 0.864578 2.090545 5.035897 11.782146 28.504494
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.131550 0.333856 0.811624 2.018300 4.998891 12.012704 29.878212
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.117443 0.306540 0.765343 1.955701 4.976227 12.272601 31.355228
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.110543 0.296447 0.759408 1.992100 5.202278 13.154903 34.489879
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.109164 0.300498 0.789119 2.123095 5.685119 14.726735 39.585901
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.104368 0.294760 0.793112 2.187456 6.003207 15.922642 43.859294
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.098280 0.284620 0.784281 2.216272 6.230293 16.911394 47.709251